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Efficient Long-Term Prediction of Chaotic Systems Using Physics-Informed Neural Operators: Overcoming Limitations of Traditional Closure Models Sana Hassan Artificial Intelligence Category – MarkTechPost

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Predicting the long-term behavior of chaotic systems, such as those used in climate modeling, is essential but requires significant computational resources due to the need for high-resolution spatiotemporal grids. One alternative to fully-resolved simulations (FRS) is to use coarse grids, with closure models correcting for errors by approximating the missing fine-scale information. While machine learning methods have recently been applied to improve closure models, they still face obstacles, including the need for large amounts of costly high-resolution training data and, at times, requiring coarse-grid simulations derived from downsampled FRS data.

Researchers from Caltech have discovered a key limitation in traditional closure models for predicting long-term statistics of chaotic systems. These models suffer from high approximation errors due to non-unique mappings. To address this, they developed a physics-informed neural operator (PINO) that eliminates the need for closure models and coarse-grid solvers. PINO is first trained on coarse-grid data and then fine-tuned with a small amount of high-fidelity simulation data and physics-based constraints. This grid-free approach allows PINO to accurately estimate long-term statistics with a 120× speedup and only ~5% error, outperforming conventional, slower, and much less accurate closure models. Theoretical and experimental results in fluid dynamics validate PINO’s effectiveness.

The problem involves evaluating long-term statistics of dynamical systems governed by partial differential equations (PDEs). High-fidelity simulations (FRS) offer accurate solutions but are computationally expensive, especially for chaotic systems requiring dense spatiotemporal grids. Coarse-grid simulations (CGS) aim to reduce this cost by estimating statistics using closure models. Traditional closure models rely on simplifying assumptions, while machine learning-based methods offer alternatives but face challenges like non-uniqueness and dependence on extensive training data from FRS. These methods often require significant amounts of fine-grid data and can be computationally prohibitive, limiting their broader application.

The researchers introduce a physics-informed operator learning method to address the limitations of traditional closure models in predicting long-term statistics of chaotic systems. Instead of learning on a coarse grid, they extend the task to the entire function space by directly modeling the solution operator of the governing PDE. Using Fourier Neural Operators (FNO), their approach is resolution-invariant and achieves faster convergence by taking larger time steps. They incorporate physics-informed loss functions and pre-train the model with coarse-grid data before fine-tuning with limited high-fidelity simulations. Theoretical results demonstrate that their method accurately estimates long-term statistics, ensuring robust performance even with approximate operators.

The study validates their physics-informed operator learning method on two fluid dynamics equations: the 1D Kuramoto-Sivashinsky (KS) and 2D Navier-Stokes (NS). Using Fourier Neural Operators (FNO) and minimal FRS data, their model outperforms traditional CGS and closure models in estimating long-term statistics. Comparisons of the energy spectrum, vorticity, and velocity variance show significantly lower errors than baselines, such as the Smagorinsky model and single-state learning-based methods. Despite limited FRS data, their approach yields accurate predictions efficiently, with superior performance in realistic settings compared to previous learning-based methods.

The study addresses the challenge of estimating long-term statistics in chaotic systems using coarse-grid simulations. The researchers propose a functional Liouville flow framework and demonstrate the limitations of traditional learning methods. Using PINO, they achieve efficient, accurate predictions with minimal fine-resolution data. PINO bypasses coarse-grid solvers, unlike closure models, offering a more robust solution. Experiments show significant improvements, achieving a 120x speedup with only ∼5% error, compared to the slower and less accurate closure models. This approach has broad applications, including climate modeling and image generation tasks.

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